Table of Contents

Foreword
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Background and significance of the research program
1.1.1 Background
1.1.2 Significance
1.2 Related concepts in context
1.2.1 Definition of agricultural policies
1.2.2 Definition of agricultural support policies
1.2.3 Definitions concerning goods
1.3 Contents in this research
1.4 Possible new points
Chapter 2 The evolution and possible future scenarios of China's agricultural policies under WTO rules
2.1 A historical outline of agricultural policies in China
2.1.1 A historical outline of agricultural price policies in China
2.1.2 A historical outline of international trade policies in China
2.1.3 Summary of agricultural policies in China
2.2 WTO rules and the U.S.-China disputes on agriculture
2.2.1 WTO rules on agriculture
2.2.2 The U.S.-China agricultural disputes
2.3 Possible future scenarios of agricultural policies in China
2.3.1 Launching polices to increase agricultural supply
2.3.2 Launching polices to decrease agricultural demand
2.4 Summary
Chapter 3 Analysis of the domestic supply of corn and its sufficiency under itspolicies in China
3.1 The classification of corn in Chinese
3.1.1 Inputs (consumption) of food corn and feed corn
3.1.2 The debate on corn's classification in Chinese
3.2 The movement of domestic supply of corn in China
3.2.1 The domestic production of corn in China
3.2.2 The domestic supply and export of corn in Ching
3.2.3 Ending Stocks of corn in China
3.3 The suficiency of corn under its policy in China
3.3.1 The sufficiency of corn in China
3.3.2 The self-sufficiency of corn in China
3.4 Summary
Chapter 4 Study on corn imports and substitution under import policies of China and export capacity of corn origins
4.1 . A methodology of panel data analysis
4.1.1 Mixed effects, fixed effects, and random effects
4.1.2 A random-coefficient regression approach
4.2 Corn imports of China under its import policy changes
4.2.1 Corn imports of China over time
4.2.2 A discuss on expanding corn imports of China
4.3 The substitution of China's corn and the corn from different origins: estimation of elasticities of substitution
4.3.1 An Armington approach
4.3.2 The data description
4.3.3 Result analysis
4.4 Analysis of export capacity of corn in origin countries of corn imports
4.4.1 The corn export capacity of the world
4.4.2 The corn export capacity of China's partner countries
4.5 Summary
Chapter 5 Volatility of agricultural prices under its policies: relationships between domestic and import markets of China
5.1 A conceptual framework of price volatility and its transmission
5.2 A practice of the theory of rational expectations in the framework
5.2.1 The theory of rational expectations
5.2.2 The practice of the theory in the framework
5.3 Multivariate time series analysis: a methodology of price volatility
5.3.1 An approach for multivariate time series
5.3.2 Properties of a multivariate time series
5.3.3 Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in price volatility
5.4 The corn price movement and volatility of China
5.4.1 The data description
5.4.2 Movements of corn prices
5.4.3 Volatilities of corn prices
5.5 Empirical analysis of corn price volatility and its international transmission
5.5.1 Properties of the price series
5.5.2 A VAR-BEKK-GARCH model
5.5.3 Result analysis
5.6 Summary
Chapter 6 Simulation on future scenarios of agricultural policies in China: a CGE analysis
6.1 CGE methods from theory to empirics
6.1.1 General equilibrium theory
6.1.2 CGE methods
6.2 Data description: social accounting matrix
6.2.1 The structure of a SAM
6.2.2 Construction: a SAM for China
6.2.3 Matrix adjustment for a